Mad_Cyril Not arguing mate 🙂 I’ve been trying to explain to folks generally some of the really complex data that’s out there, when given the chance to do so…
So - the data you quoted…
- 19% of COVID-19 inpatients aged 50 and over are unvaccinated.
- Unvaccinated individuals aged 50 and over are more than 4 times as likely to be admitted to hospital with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated individuals.
Just for a minute, imagine the total number of people in the UK aged over 50 that have been hospitalised due to COVID is 100, to keep it nice and simple.
That means 19 people are unvaccinated, and 81 are vaccinated, ok?
Let’s say the average percentage of people over 50 vaccinated is 90% - I think it’s actually higher than that, but we’ll use 90% for argument’s sake.
Let’s say again for a minute that there are 1,000 people in the UK aged over 50.
Of the 100 in hospital, 19 are unvaccinated, and 81 are vaccinated - so immediately looks like vaccinated people are the problem, right? 4 times as many people in hospital are unvaccinated vs vaccinated…
But 90% of people are vaccinated, so we look at the frequency of hospital admission, rather than the raw number.
90% of 1,000 is 900 - so 81 of 900 vaccinated people are hospitalised with COVID in this hypothetical world. That’s 9%.
19% of 100 is 19 - so 19 of 100 unvaccinated people are hospitalised with COVID, so more than twice as many. The numbers are obviously way bigger than 100 in hospital, and 1,000 total population, but hopefully that gives an idea of how the proportion hospitalised and the likelihood of hospitalisation are two very different numbers?
